Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.211506 1.484110 1.837087 2.343160 3.078695 4.161066 5.992414
2025-04-27 0.884528 1.192849 1.658567 2.472575 4.020976 7.335336 17.477964
2025-05-04 0.696254 0.992894 1.484984 2.466982 4.760586 11.719485 59.750790
2025-05-11 0.570169 0.841998 1.320971 2.367780 5.224076 17.122427 320.085644
2025-05-18 0.500850 0.763771 1.254092 2.426605 6.211454 30.168993 NaN
2025-05-25 0.455373 0.715032 1.225529 2.558633 7.714994 66.685810 NaN
2025-06-01 0.410287 0.657223 1.160838 2.562615 8.819495 146.568355 NaN
2025-06-08 0.367466 0.596129 1.073597 2.459900 9.307595 299.504132 NaN
2025-06-15 0.345032 0.570822 1.060035 2.580807 11.545203 3729.539219 NaN
2025-06-22 0.320418 0.537258 1.019258 2.592640 13.238284 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.295481 0.499693 0.961142 2.516557 14.107294 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.275218 0.469428 0.915620 2.470075 15.334704 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.267628 0.465438 0.937547 2.715954 22.095003 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.256702 0.452869 0.934570 2.862562 29.729236 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.242309 0.430915 0.901562 2.852829 34.739666 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.226472 0.404137 0.850566 2.730127 35.808165 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.217251 0.391450 0.837843 2.802378 46.371698 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.210833 0.384473 0.840509 2.965370 69.626779 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.201555 0.369880 0.817756 2.970294 86.988495 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.190516 0.350214 0.776627 2.843380 88.844661 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.185594 0.344651 0.778451 2.992823 147.070473 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.178632 0.333564 0.761047 3.007486 200.961448 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.170440 0.318879 0.730105 2.913322 219.550835 NaN NaN